哄特朗普开心！动辄“万亿”，中东土豪真的拿得出吗？

Core Viewpoint - Trump's Middle East trip is characterized by extravagant investment promises from Saudi Arabia and Qatar, with figures reaching up to $1 trillion and $1.2 trillion respectively, raising questions about the feasibility of these commitments [1][2][3]. Group 1: Investment Commitments - Saudi Crown Prince Salman initially promised $600 billion in investments over four years, but Trump suggested this could reach $1 trillion, which is nearly equivalent to Saudi Arabia's GDP of just over $1 trillion [1][3]. - In Qatar, Trump secured agreements aimed at facilitating economic exchanges valued at at least $1.2 trillion, including a $200 billion deal for Qatar Airways to purchase 160 Boeing commercial aircraft [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Reality - The economic capabilities of Gulf countries do not align with the promised investment figures, as Saudi Arabia's GDP is slightly above $1 trillion and Qatar's GDP is only around $200 billion, making the $1.2 trillion figure appear unrealistic [2][6]. - The fluctuation of oil prices poses a significant risk to these commitments, with Saudi Arabia needing oil prices to remain around $96 per barrel to maintain fiscal balance, while current prices are approximately $60 [5][7]. Group 3: Strategic Goals of Gulf Countries - Saudi Arabia seeks security assurances from the U.S. and aims to collaborate on civilian nuclear programs, despite concerns over nuclear proliferation [8]. - The UAE views investment as a core strategy to deepen ties with the U.S., having announced a $1.4 trillion investment plan focused on AI, semiconductors, manufacturing, and energy [8]. - Qatar has established a formal security partnership with the U.S., hosting the largest U.S. military base in the Middle East, and aims to enhance its geopolitical value through mediation in regional conflicts [9].