Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in U.S. stock futures, bond prices, and the dollar index, alongside a rise in safe-haven currencies and gold, driven by concerns over U.S. fiscal health and a recent credit rating downgrade by Moody's [10][11]. Group 1: Market Reactions - U.S. stock index futures are showing a downward trend, with the Dow futures down nearly 0.9%, S&P 500 futures down over 1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures down over 1.5% [6][7]. - The U.S. Treasury market is experiencing a large-scale sell-off, with the 30-year Treasury yield rising to 5.02%, marking the highest level since November 2023 [3][5]. - The dollar index has dropped over 0.7%, while the euro has appreciated approximately 1% against the dollar, reaching its highest level since May 9 [5]. Group 2: Bond Market Dynamics - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has increased by over 12 basis points, reflecting investor concerns about the long-term fiscal health of the U.S. [3][5]. - Analysts predict that the recent downgrade by Moody's could lead to an additional rise of 5-10 basis points in the yields of 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasuries [5][11]. Group 3: Commodity and Currency Movements - Gold prices have surged over 1%, with spot gold reaching above $3,230 per ounce, benefiting from the deteriorating U.S. fiscal situation [8]. - Traditional safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc have gained strength amid rising uncertainties regarding U.S. debt [5][10]. Group 4: Credit Rating Impact - Moody's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing worsening fiscal deficits and political polarization as factors undermining the credit foundation of the world's largest economy [10][11]. - Market analysts believe this downgrade will prompt investors to reassess the risk premium associated with U.S. assets, potentially leading to a shift towards non-U.S. assets [11].
刚刚,股债汇“三杀”!
华尔街见闻·2025-05-19 11:28