中美又有新的交锋？！

Economic Overview - Industrial production shows resilience with a year-on-year growth of 6.1% in April and 6.4% from January to April, driven by strong export performance [1] - Total goods import and export in April reached 38,391 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, with exports at 22,645 billion yuan, growing by 9.3% [1] Consumer Spending - Social retail sales totaled 37,174 billion yuan in April, up 5.1% year-on-year, primarily supported by subsidies [3] - Categories like clothing and tobacco saw declines, while home appliances and furniture benefited from trade-in policies, although the effectiveness of such policies is diminishing [3][4] - Tourism emerged as a bright spot, with 1.467 billion people traveling during the May Day holiday, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, indicating a recovery in consumer spending [6][8] Investment Trends - Investment in real estate and infrastructure has unexpectedly declined, with real estate development investment down 10.3% year-on-year [9][11] - Excluding real estate, fixed asset investment growth increased from 4% to 8% [11] - The decline in investment is attributed to increased uncertainty due to tariff impacts, necessitating further stimulus policies to boost domestic demand [11][12] Market Dynamics - The stock market has shown limited movement, with significant fluctuations but no clear trend in index performance [13] - New consumption trends, particularly among younger demographics, are emerging, characterized by unique consumption models such as blind box purchases and pet-related products [14][15] - The outlook for the market remains cautious, with ongoing negotiations between China and the U.S. regarding tariffs being a critical factor for future economic sentiment [16][17]