LSKJ(SZ:300680) 市值风云·2025-05-20 10:02Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid growth of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) in the automotive market, highlighting the significant increase in their sales proportion within the new energy vehicle segment, which is expected to reach 40% in 2024, up 17 percentage points from 2022 [3][10]. Group 1: Company Overview - Longsheng Technology (300680.SZ) is a company involved in the PHEV sector, experiencing rapid growth over the past seven years, with its stock price reaching new highs in the secondary market [8][9]. - The company was founded in 2004 and is recognized as a national "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprise, with its controlling shareholders being the Ni family, who hold 29.38% of the shares [12][13]. - Longsheng Technology's business has evolved from a focus on commercial diesel engine exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) systems to a diversified manufacturing service provider across multiple sectors, including new energy vehicles [15][18]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 51.4% in revenue from 2018 to 2023, with revenue of 1.64 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a growth of 38.5% [19][20]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company has increased significantly, with projections for 2024 indicating a net profit of 210 to 240 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 43% to 63% [22][24]. - In 2023, the revenue from the new energy business reached 940 million yuan, accounting for 52% of total revenue, with expectations for further growth in 2024 [26]. Group 3: Business Segments - The company operates three main business segments: EGR systems, new energy vehicle drive motor cores, and precision automotive components, with EGR systems contributing the most to profits while new energy vehicle components generate the highest revenue [27][28]. - The EGR product segment is projected to account for 34% of revenue in the first half of 2024, while new energy vehicle components are expected to contribute 43% [28]. - The market for EGR products is relatively small, with projections indicating a potential market size of 3.22 billion yuan by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 15.6% from 2024 to 2027 [32]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The demand for drive motor cores is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing number of electric vehicles and hybrid models, with the market for motor cores projected to reach 11.33 billion yuan by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 26.2% [41][42]. - The company has a concentrated customer base, with the top five customers accounting for 65% of total sales in 2023, indicating a reliance on major clients for revenue [50][51]. - The overall gross margin has declined by 7.7 percentage points from 2021 to 2022, primarily due to the lower margins in the new energy segment, with the gross margin for the EGR segment at 24.5% and for new energy components at 11.9% in the first half of 2024 [53][55].