2025清华五道口全球金融论坛主题讨论三丨全球经济碎片化的挑战

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges posed by global economic fragmentation and emphasizes the need for international cooperation to address these issues. Group 1: Global Economic Fragmentation - Global economic fragmentation is characterized by a shift towards regionalization, which may present new development opportunities for Central Asian countries [3] - Factors contributing to fragmentation include cognitive biases, geopolitical tensions, populism, and trade protectionism, leading to weakened global economic ties and the formation of independent economic groups [6] - Historical trends show that global trade's share in GDP has fluctuated significantly, with fragmentation weakening global value chains and hindering economic growth [9] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - Policymakers are urged to adopt a dynamic and comprehensive perspective to address the complexities of economic fragmentation and its long-term impacts [9] - Strengthening multilateral cooperation is essential, not only in trade but also in areas like climate change, cybersecurity, and pandemic prevention [12] - Reforming international financial institutions and establishing new governance frameworks for emerging technologies and critical resources is necessary to maintain global order amid rising strategic competition [12] Group 3: Importance of International Cooperation - Enhancing international cooperation is crucial to counteract the effects of fragmentation, particularly in trade disputes, supply chain restructuring, and technological competition [15] - Constructive dialogue and the re-establishment of cooperative mechanisms among nations are vital for promoting global economic stability [15]