投资者为何在高波动和热门行业产品上“难赚钱”？中国公募基金的投资者回报差研究-当幻想撞上现实 第二章

Core Viewpoints - Investors often ignore potential risks of funds due to blind chasing of high returns, leading to lower returns compared to the funds' performance. This is particularly evident in sector funds, which attract a lot of follow-up capital during market upswings but experience severe drawdowns during downturns, causing investors to sell at low points and miss subsequent rebounds [3][11]. Group 1: High-Risk Fund Characteristics - Funds with higher volatility generally exhibit greater investor return differentials. Over the past five years, sector funds, active stock funds, and actively managed funds with over 70% equity positions had annualized volatility rates of 29.05%, 23.95%, and 23.86%, respectively, while conservative mixed and fixed-income funds had much lower rates of 5.33% and 2.34%. Corresponding annualized investor return differentials for the former were -3.59%, -2.65%, and -2.17%, compared to -0.86% and -0.62% for the latter [3][4][8]. - Funds with highly concentrated holdings tend to have higher volatility and more significant investor return differentials. While concentrated strategies can yield strong returns if the fund manager selects outperforming securities, they also expose investors to substantial losses when market conditions shift rapidly [3][9]. Group 2: Sector Fund Dynamics - Sector funds, due to their focus on specific industries, exhibit more pronounced volatility. For instance, the annualized investor return differentials for medical and consumer sector funds were -7.70% and -5.16%, respectively, reflecting the impact of market conditions and investor behavior during downturns [13][15]. - A case study of the China Europe Medical Health Mixed A fund illustrates the risks associated with sector funds. After a significant rise during the pandemic, the fund experienced a drawdown of over 50% as market conditions changed, leading to a five-year annualized investor return of -17.07%, significantly lagging behind the fund's annualized return of -1.11% [14][15]. Group 3: Recommendations for Investors - Investors should establish a multi-dimensional product evaluation framework, moving beyond a single focus on returns. Understanding one's risk tolerance is crucial to avoid deviating from suitable product categories due to short-term performance temptations. When selecting funds, it is essential to analyze historical volatility characteristics and the underlying investment strategies [10][17].