贝塔6月投资布局精选

Market Performance Overview - Hong Kong stocks showed varied performance from May 1 to present, with notable gainers including Xinda Biopharmaceutical (15.53%) and XPeng Motors (10.36%), while Weilan Delicious saw a decline of 15.42% [1] - A-share market also had mixed results, with Bai Run Co. increasing by 9.27% and Yanqing Beer by 8.70%, while Yanjin Beer fell by 2.78% [1] - In the US market, Vistra led with a 23.22% increase, while UnitedHealth Group experienced a significant drop of 27.53% [1] Macroeconomic Context - The 20-year US Treasury auction results were weaker than expected, indicating soft demand for government debt, which led to declines across US stocks, bonds, and currencies [2] Trade Relations and Tariffs - US-China trade talks on May 12 resulted in a temporary suspension of some tariffs, alleviating market concerns and boosting investor confidence [3] - Japan is pursuing a $44 billion LNG project and technology sharing to reach a tariff agreement with the US, while ongoing negotiations with the EU remain unresolved, posing potential risks for US stocks, particularly in tech and industrial sectors [3] Export Trends - China's exports to the US fell by 21% in April, but a recovery in demand is anticipated as US retailers increase orders ahead of major holidays [4] - Shanghai port saw a 49.4% week-on-week increase in export container volume, indicating strong demand and a backlog of orders extending into June [7] Tourism Sector Insights - The upcoming travel season is expected to see a surge in bookings, with a 63% year-on-year increase in orders for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday [9] - Ctrip and Tongcheng Travel are highlighted as key players, with Ctrip focusing on high-end markets and Tongcheng targeting lower-tier consumers [9][10] Consumer Trends - The Z generation's consumption potential is rising, with a focus on value-for-money and personalized products [10] - Companies like Wancheng Group are recommended for investment due to their strong market position and growth potential in the snack industry [10] AI and Technology Sector - The demand for AI infrastructure remains robust, with companies like NVIDIA and AMD positioned as key players in the market [15][16] - Upcoming tech events in June are expected to drive further interest and investment in the sector [17] Stock Adjustments and Earnings - The Hang Seng Index is set for adjustments in June, with potential new additions to the Hong Kong Stock Connect [20] - Companies like NIO and various US firms are expected to report earnings in June, which could influence market sentiment [21][22] Defensive Investment Strategies - Given the current macroeconomic uncertainties, investments in gold, banks, and utility sectors are recommended as defensive strategies [25]