Marvell：AI 环增 “失速”，下一张 “王牌” 在哪？

Core Viewpoint - Marvell's recent financial results met market expectations, but the lack of significant incremental growth raises concerns about future performance [3][4][10]. Financial Performance - For Q1 FY26, Marvell reported revenue of $1.9 billion, a 4.3% increase quarter-over-quarter, aligning closely with market expectations of $1.88 billion [1][18]. - The adjusted gross margin was 59.2%, reflecting a slight decline of 0.3 percentage points, primarily due to lower margins from custom ASIC businesses [1][21]. - The company anticipates revenue of $2 billion for the next quarter, consistent with market expectations, with a projected gross margin of 50.5% [2][10]. Data Center Business - Data center revenue reached $1.44 billion, growing 5.5% quarter-over-quarter, driven by AI business [1][32]. - AI revenue is estimated at $830 million for the quarter, with a slight increase, while non-AI business is expected to see a minor decline [1][34]. - The data center segment now accounts for 76% of total revenue, indicating its critical role in Marvell's growth strategy [1][32]. Market Dynamics - The market is particularly focused on Marvell's AI business, which is heavily reliant on core cloud service providers (CSPs) [6][12]. - Despite a decline in capital expenditures from major cloud providers, Marvell managed to achieve growth in its data center segment, suggesting an increase in market share [6][37]. - The upcoming product cycles, particularly from Amazon and Microsoft, are crucial for sustaining growth in the AI segment [7][39]. Business Segmentation - Marvell's business is primarily divided into data center (approximately 75% of revenue) and other segments (approximately 25%) [15][17]. - The company has seen a decline in traditional business segments, with enterprise networking and carrier infrastructure contributing less than 10% to total revenue [30][46]. Future Outlook - The company faces potential risks from its reliance on the Chinese market, which historically has contributed significantly to revenue [9][12]. - The postponement of the investor day event due to macroeconomic uncertainties may further impact investor confidence [9][12]. - Overall, while Marvell's financial results align with expectations, the slowing growth in AI business and reliance on key customers pose challenges for future performance [10][12].