两连涨！5月重卡销8.3万辆！以旧换新政策发力，终端销量大涨20%

Core Viewpoint - The heavy truck market in China has experienced a "double increase" in sales for May 2025, indicating a positive trend amidst previous pessimism, driven by policies and market dynamics [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - In May 2025, approximately 83,000 heavy trucks were sold in China, representing a 6% year-on-year increase from 78,200 units in the same month last year, despite a slight month-on-month decline of 5% from April [5]. - Cumulatively, from January to May 2025, the heavy truck market recorded sales of about 435,500 units, reflecting a modest year-on-year growth of approximately 1% [5]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The "old-for-new" policy for National IV trucks has significantly stimulated the market, leading to a notable increase in both wholesale and terminal sales of heavy trucks in May [7]. - As of now, over half of the provinces and regions have implemented the "old-for-new" policy, which has positively influenced the demand for new heavy trucks [7]. Group 3: Segment Performance - The terminal sales of heavy trucks in May are expected to have increased by over 20% year-on-year, with a slight month-on-month decline of around 5% [10]. - Electric heavy trucks have seen a remarkable growth, with sales exceeding 15,000 units in May, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 190%, and achieving a market penetration rate of over 23% [13][14]. - Diesel heavy trucks also experienced a significant increase in sales, with an estimated year-on-year growth of around 31% in May [16]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The heavy truck market is expected to maintain continuous growth in June, driven by the ongoing implementation of the "old-for-new" policies [18]. - The sales decline of natural gas heavy trucks is anticipated to narrow to single digits in June, creating favorable conditions for a rebound in the second half of the year [18].