XIANGTAN ELECTROCHEMICAL SCIENTIFIC CO.(SZ:002125) 市值风云·2025-06-03 10:02Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape and future prospects of manganese lithium batteries in the electric two-wheeler market, highlighting the challenges posed by the dominance of lithium iron phosphate batteries and the fluctuating prices of lithium carbonate [4][24][29]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The rapid development of the power battery industry has led to increased attention on the cross-application of manganese in lithium batteries, particularly manganese lithium batteries, which have clear application scenarios in electric two-wheelers and low-speed electric vehicles [7][8]. - The electric two-wheeler market is crucial for the sustained growth of manganese lithium materials, with a projected domestic demand of 115,000 tons by 2026 [11][36]. - The market for manganese-based cathode materials is relatively small, leading to a challenging survival environment for small and medium enterprises, while larger companies dominate due to their scale and R&D capabilities [12][13]. Group 2: Company Performance - The company plans to raise 487 million yuan for a project to produce 30,000 tons of spinel manganese lithium battery materials, indicating a strategic shift towards lithium battery materials [8][9]. - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 1.9 billion yuan, with its main business segments being electrolytic manganese dioxide (EMD) and manganese lithium, where EMD contributes 67% of revenue [13][18]. - The company's EMD business has a gross margin of 37%, while manganese lithium has struggled with profitability, showing a gross margin of less than 1% in recent years [13][20]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The electric two-wheeler market in China has reached a saturation point, with a decline in sales expected in 2024, which may impact the demand for manganese lithium batteries [35][47]. - The global electric two-wheeler market saw a slight increase in sales, but the domestic market is projected to decline by 11.6% in 2024 [34][35]. - The price of lithium carbonate has a significant impact on the profitability of manganese lithium batteries, with fluctuations leading to varying gross margins across the industry [20][29]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The article highlights the competitive threat posed by lithium iron phosphate batteries, which are becoming increasingly cost-effective and may overshadow manganese lithium batteries in the market [24][27][28]. - The price of manganese lithium battery materials has been revised downwards from 55,000 yuan to 33,000 yuan per ton, reflecting the competitive pressure from lithium iron phosphate [30][31]. - The company faces challenges in maintaining its market position as the advantages of manganese lithium over lithium iron phosphate diminish, particularly in terms of cost and performance [28][29].