全球半导体，最新预测

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $700.9 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.2% driven by demand in AI, cloud infrastructure, and advanced consumer electronics [1][3]. Market Segmentation - The growth in the semiconductor market will be primarily led by logic and memory segments, both expected to see double-digit growth due to sustained demand in various sectors [3]. - Sensor and analog markets will contribute positively to the overall market growth, albeit at a more moderate pace, while discrete semiconductors, optoelectronics, and micro ICs are anticipated to experience slight declines due to specific demand constraints [3]. Regional Analysis - The Americas and Asia Pacific (excluding Japan) are expected to achieve significant growth rates of 18.0% and 9.8% respectively in 2025, while Europe and Japan will see comparatively smaller growth [3][4]. - The total semiconductor market is forecasted to grow from $630.5 billion in 2024 to $700.9 billion in 2025, with a further increase to $760.7 billion in 2026, marking an 8.5% growth [4]. Product Categories - Integrated circuits are projected to grow significantly, with logic and memory segments leading the charge, showing year-on-year growth rates of 23.9% and 11.7% respectively in 2025 [4]. - Discrete semiconductors and optoelectronics are expected to decline by 2.6% and 4.4% respectively in 2025, indicating challenges in these specific markets [4].