Group 1 - The article discusses the recent increase in job vacancies in the US, with available positions rising to 7.39 million, exceeding market expectations of 7.1 million, indicating a stronger employment situation than anticipated [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates, with a 72.4% probability of a rate cut in September, while the likelihood of cuts in June and July remains low at 2.2% and 22.4% respectively [1] - The A-share market is currently in a bullish phase, with a target of 3600 points, and the key index level to watch is 3417, which, if broken, could accelerate the market's upward movement [1][2] Group 2 - Foreign investment sentiment towards the Chinese stock market is improving, with analysts raising EPS expectations for the Hang Seng Index following a trade consensus between China and the US [2][5] - The allocation of foreign capital in Chinese stocks remains low at approximately 4.6%, down from 6.1% in October of the previous year, indicating potential for growth as foreign investors become more optimistic [5] - Retail investor enthusiasm has decreased significantly, with the sentiment index dropping from 2.0 in September last year to 0.3, contributing to weaker performance in thematic stocks [7] Group 3 - The consumer sector is experiencing a strong performance, with segments such as gold jewelry, beauty care, and food and beverage leading the gains, driven by a shift in consumer spending patterns due to weakened exports [12] - The consumption structure in China is undergoing an upgrade, with a focus on quality and self-satisfying consumption, as evidenced by the rise of brands that emphasize product quality and consumer experience [12][13] - The "self-pleasing" consumption trend is gaining traction, with 46.28% of young consumers prioritizing self-pleasure in their spending, and the market for such consumption reaching 4.5 trillion yuan, accounting for 32% of total household consumption [13][15]
大盘,后面这样走!
格兰投研·2025-06-04 14:01