现在真到了“劝退”计算机专业的时候吗？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the changing landscape of the computer science profession due to the rise of generative AI, suggesting that the traditional job security and high demand for computer science graduates may be at risk as AI tools become more capable of performing programming tasks [2][4]. Group 1: Historical Context and Current Trends - For the past two decades, studying computer science has been seen as a reliable path to success, with graduates finding high-paying jobs in IT and internet companies [1]. - The emergence of generative AI has fundamentally altered the supply-demand dynamics for programming talent, leading to significant reductions in technical teams within companies [2]. - The average unemployment rates for computer engineering and computer science graduates in the U.S. have risen to 7.5% and 6.1%, respectively, indicating a shift in job security within these fields [4]. Group 2: Impact on Employment - Entry-level programmers have experienced less impact from these changes, as companies tend to cut mid-level programmers with higher salaries and less willingness to work overtime [3]. - The introduction of generative AI has accelerated the "turnover" of programmers, potentially reducing the age at which programmers face unemployment from 35 to 29 [3]. - The importance of understanding programming concepts has increased, while the necessity for executing programming tasks has diminished, leading to a potential devaluation of traditional programming roles [4]. Group 3: Future Considerations - The article warns that the influx of students into computer science programs may lead to a saturation of the job market, particularly for those lacking genuine interest or talent in programming [5]. - The author emphasizes the need for individuals to assess their personal strengths and interests when choosing a career path, rather than following trends blindly [6][7]. - The shift from a "beta-driven" job market to one that values "alpha" skills is inevitable, suggesting that individuals should focus on self-discovery and personal development rather than solely on market trends [7][8].