《生态跃迁》摘录 | 标品信托规模大幅增长，还能延续吗？

Core Viewpoint - The significant increase in the scale of standard trust products is driven by both the accelerated transformation of the trust industry and the flexibility advantages of standard trust products, alongside favorable conditions in the bond market [1][2]. Group 1: Scale Growth Driven by "Borrowing Path" - The growth in scale has lost its momentum due to regulatory measures aimed at eliminating institutional arbitrage and ensuring fair competition among financial sub-industries [2][3]. - The lack of specific regulatory guidelines for standard trust products allows for greater operational flexibility compared to public funds and bank wealth management products, attracting significant capital inflow, particularly from low-risk preference bank wealth management funds [2][3]. - The collaboration between trust companies and wealth management firms has led to a reliance on smoothing mechanisms to adjust product yields, which may pose risks to investors and the overall market [3][4]. Group 2: Risks and Regulatory Attention - Regulatory bodies have issued notifications to strengthen compliance management regarding the cooperation between trust companies and wealth management firms, focusing on issues such as improper use of smoothing mechanisms and risk asset transactions [3][4]. - Investors may face mismatched risk exposure and potential losses due to the improper adjustment of yields between different wealth management products [4][5]. - The regulatory focus aims to prevent liquidity risks and ensure that the actual risks of products are accurately reflected, protecting investors from misleading risk perceptions [6][10]. Group 3: Performance-Driven Scale Increase - The increase in the scale of standard trust products is also attributed to the accelerated transformation of trust companies towards standard trust products and the strong performance of the bond market in 2024 [13][14]. - Trust companies are leveraging their experience in the municipal investment sector to enhance their bond investment strategies, leading to higher-than-average returns in their standard trust products [14][15]. - The current low-risk yield environment and the preference for low-volatility bonds have further driven capital into standard trust products, contributing to record-high industry scales [15]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The ability to sustain growth in scale driven by performance may become challenging as the bond market experiences lower absolute yields and reduced credit spreads [15]. - Trust companies may need to diversify their asset allocation strategies to seek stable long-term returns, which poses a challenge for their management capabilities [15][16]. - The ongoing regulatory efforts to eliminate arbitrage opportunities and ensure fair competition will likely shape the future landscape of the asset management industry [10][11].