【房地产】1-5月核心30城新房成交面积同比基本持平，成交均价同比+5.6%——光大核心城市房地产销售跟踪（何缅南/韦勇强）

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in major cities is experiencing a mixed performance, with new home sales showing a slight decline in transaction volume but an increase in average prices, while the secondary housing market is seeing significant growth in transaction volume [2][4][6]. New Housing Market - In May 2025, the transaction area of new residential properties in 30 core cities was 11.48 million square meters, down 8.5% year-on-year, but up 5.7% month-on-month [2]. - From January to May 2025, the total transaction area for new residential properties in these cities was 55.21 million square meters, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year [2]. - The average price of new residential properties in May 2025 was 25,885 yuan per square meter, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year [2]. - The average price for new homes in key cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen varied significantly, with Beijing at 59,645 yuan per square meter, up 17.8% year-on-year, while Guangzhou saw a decline of 9.1% [3]. Secondary Housing Market - In May 2025, the transaction area of second-hand residential properties in 15 core cities was 13.57 million square meters, an increase of 5.7% year-on-year [4]. - From January to May 2025, the total transaction area for second-hand residential properties was 66.70 million square meters, up 17.3% year-on-year [5]. - The average price of second-hand residential properties in 10 core cities was 24,426 yuan per square meter, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [5]. - Key cities showed varied average prices for second-hand homes, with Beijing at 28,896 yuan per square meter, up 5.6% year-on-year, while Guangzhou experienced a decline of 7.5% [6]. Investment Outlook - The real estate market is expected to stabilize in 2025 due to the implementation of previous real estate policies and increased local government autonomy in market regulation, leading to further regional and city-level differentiation [6].