Core Viewpoint - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with a narrowing decline in new home prices and a decrease in unsold inventory, supported by proactive financial policies and urban renewal initiatives [2][6][19]. Economic Performance - In May 2025, the national economy demonstrated resilience with industrial production increasing by 5.8% year-on-year and retail sales growing by 6.4% [3]. - The total import and export volume reached 38,098 billion yuan, with exports growing by 6.3% [3]. - The unemployment rate in urban areas decreased to 5.0% in May, indicating a stable job market [3]. Real Estate Market Trends - New home sales in May reached 70.53 million square meters, with a 10% month-on-month increase, reflecting a recovery in demand [6]. - The average price of new homes rose above 10,000 yuan per square meter, indicating a shift towards higher quality housing [6][10]. - The inventory of unsold homes decreased by 715 million square meters, marking three consecutive months of decline [7]. Financial Policies and Support - A series of financial support policies were implemented, including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to inject approximately 1 trillion yuan into the market [7][19]. - The M2 money supply grew by 7.9%, while M1 increased by 2.3%, indicating improved consumer confidence [4][5]. Construction and Development - The area under construction for residential properties decreased by 9.6% year-on-year, with new construction down by 22.8% [14]. - The new construction area in May was 53.48 million square meters, a 19% year-on-year decline, but the rate of decline is narrowing [14][15]. - The real estate development investment in the first five months was 36,234 billion yuan, down 10.7% year-on-year [19]. Price Trends - The price index for new homes in 70 major cities showed a continued stabilization, with the year-on-year decline narrowing [9][10]. - In May, first-tier cities saw a 1.7% year-on-year decrease in new home prices, with some cities like Shanghai experiencing price increases [9]. Future Outlook - The real estate market is expected to continue stabilizing in the second half of 2025, driven by financial support policies and urban renewal efforts [22][23]. - The focus will be on managing inventory and enhancing the quality of new housing supply to meet evolving consumer demands [22][23].
行业数据|销售企稳去库存提速,房地产延续稳市场进程
克而瑞地产研究·2025-06-16 09:31