读研报 | 当AH股溢价指数创下5年新低

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent decline of the AH Premium Index, which has reached a five-year low, indicating a significant shift in the pricing dynamics between A-shares and H-shares [4][6]. Group 1: AH Premium Index Trends - The AH Premium Index dropped to 127.84 points, the lowest in five years, compared to over 160 points in February 2024, reflecting a 0.8% percentile position over the past five years [4]. - The financial sector (including banks, brokers, and insurance) has contributed significantly to the decline of the AH Premium Index, accounting for 64% of the decrease since 2025, 60% since April 7, and 76% since June [8]. - The top 25 stocks, primarily state-owned enterprises and resource stocks, have contributed to 79% of the decline since 2025, 71% since April 7, and 85% since June [8]. Group 2: Sector Contributions - The weighted AH premium rate for growth stocks has narrowed significantly, from 64.6% to 42.2% as of June 6, with non-bank financials, banks, and oil & gas sectors being the largest contributors to this decline [9]. - The contributions from sectors such as automotive and pharmaceuticals were also noted, with respective contributions of -0.9% and -0.6% [9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The future trajectory of the AH premium rate remains uncertain, with varying opinions on whether it will continue to narrow or stabilize, depending on market sentiment and sector performance [9]. - Analysts suggest that the choice between A-shares and H-shares should not be oversimplified and should consider the specific investment strategies and profiles of different investors [11].