Core Insights - The article discusses Meta's ambitious plans to challenge NVIDIA's dominance in the AI server market with its MTIA series of products, aiming for significant production volumes and advanced technology [3][5]. Group 1: Meta's MTIA Series - Meta is developing the MTIA T-V1, T-V1.5, and T-V2 models, with T-V1 and T-V1.5 expected to have a combined shipment target of 1-1.5 million units by the end of 2026, with T-V1.5 making up a larger share [5][4]. - The MTIA T-V1.5 will feature a doubled intermediary layer size and a PCB with up to 40 layers, while T-V2 is expected to utilize larger CoWoS packaging and require liquid cooling systems with power systems exceeding 170KW [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - In 2026, the shipment volume of AI ASICs is projected to surpass that of GPGPUs, with NVIDIA currently holding over 80% of the AI server market value share, while ASIC AI servers account for approximately 8-11% [6][7]. - By 2025, the combined shipment of Google TPU and AWS Trainium 2 is expected to reach 40-60% of NVIDIA's GPU shipments, indicating a shift in market dynamics [7]. Group 3: Cost and Technical Considerations - The article highlights a divergence in views regarding the necessity and cost of ASICs, with some large cloud service providers (CSPs) advocating for ASICs to bridge technology gaps despite higher BOM costs, while NVIDIA's CEO suggests that most ASIC projects may be canceled due to economic viability concerns [9][10]. - The high costs associated with ASICs stem from the need for larger CoWoS packaging and high-spec PCBs, which are essential for performance compensation and thermal management [11][12]. Group 4: PCB Market Potential - The article notes that the market for ASIC and GPU PCBs is expected to double in value, with a projected growth rate of 65% next year, indicating a significant opportunity for PCB suppliers [16]. - Companies like Huada Empyrean (WUS) are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of this growth, providing advanced PCBs for Meta's MTIA [17][19].
信息量有点大:机架级别的ASIC来了…...