华尔街见闻·2025-06-18 10:05Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of stablecoins as a bridge between traditional finance and decentralized finance, highlighting their potential to transform payment systems and cross-border transactions while also addressing regulatory developments in the U.S. and Hong Kong [8][10][35]. Group 1: Definition and Importance of Stablecoins - Stablecoins serve as a transitional form connecting traditional finance and Web3, retaining centralized asset credit while embodying decentralized technology characteristics [10][11]. - The emergence of stablecoins addresses the trust issues in traditional finance and offers a pathway for decentralized finance to gain acceptance among traditional financial users [12][29]. Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, establishing regulatory frameworks for stablecoins, which is seen as a significant victory for the crypto sector [5]. - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation, effective from August 1, positions the region as a leading compliance testing ground for stablecoins in Asia [6][35]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Predictions - The stablecoin market is projected to expand from approximately $250 billion to $2 trillion in the next few years, indicating significant growth potential [16][18]. - Circle, as a compliant stablecoin, is expected to benefit from this market expansion, with its business model relying on earning interest from underlying assets [31][32]. Group 4: Impact on U.S. Treasury Bonds - Stablecoins could alleviate short-term liquidity pressures on U.S. Treasury bonds, but they do not address long-term fiscal sustainability concerns [10][18]. - The influx of funds into stablecoins may provide a temporary solution for short-term debt, but the underlying issues regarding the U.S. fiscal situation remain unresolved [19][20]. Group 5: Stablecoins and Dollar Dominance - While stablecoins enhance the international use of the dollar, they do not fundamentally resolve concerns regarding the U.S. fiscal health, which continues to drive market skepticism [21][22]. - The U.S. government, particularly under Trump's influence, appears to leverage stablecoins to maintain the dollar's central role in the global financial system [23][24]. Group 6: Competitive Landscape and Future Trends - The competitive advantage of stablecoins lies in their ability to provide a bridge between traditional and decentralized finance, appealing to both sectors [29][30]. - The regulatory clarity surrounding compliant stablecoins like USDC is expected to provide them with a sustainable growth trajectory compared to less regulated counterparts [39][40].