有“苏超”的长三角将逼近世界第一

Core Viewpoint - The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is projected to achieve a GDP of $4.65 trillion in 2024, making it the second-largest urban agglomeration globally, only behind the Boston-Washington corridor in the United States. The region's per capita GDP is expected to reach $19,500, nearing the threshold for developed economies [1][7][9]. Group 1: Economic Performance - In 2023, the YRD, covering less than 4% of China's land area, generated nearly 25% of the national economic output, with nine cities boasting a GDP exceeding $1 trillion, ranking it among the top in the country [9]. - The YRD's economic density is significantly high, driven by extensive trade facilitated by its numerous ports, including Shanghai and Ningbo-Zhoushan, which are among the world's largest [18][24]. Group 2: Comparison with Other Regions - The YRD includes Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, while the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) comprises Hong Kong, Macau, and nine cities in Guangdong. The YRD's GDP is projected at ¥33.17 trillion, compared to the GBA's ¥14 trillion in 2024 [10][16]. - The YRD's per capita GDP is approximately ¥19,500, while the GBA's is around ¥16,200, indicating a higher economic output per capita in the YRD [10][16]. Group 3: Factors Contributing to Economic Growth - The geographical advantage of the YRD, described as "accessible to rivers and seas," facilitates trade and resource distribution, contributing to its economic growth [22]. - The region's flat terrain supports urban population growth and agricultural development, with Shanghai's flat land comprising 90% of the city and Jiangsu's 80% [24]. - The educational resources in the YRD are robust, producing a significant number of academicians and housing many top-tier universities, which contribute to its innovative capacity [25]. Group 4: Future Growth Drivers - Future growth in the YRD is expected to stem from three key areas: Hangzhou, Anhui, and the redevelopment of Shanghai [30][31]. - Hangzhou is recognized as a hub for digital economy and innovation, attracting talent and investment, while Anhui's integration into the YRD is bolstered by the rise of local enterprises like NIO and iFlytek [32][39]. - Shanghai, despite its large economic scale, faces challenges in maintaining urban vitality and industrial transformation, necessitating a focus on attracting a continuous influx of population [41].