硅晶圆需求，迎来增长

Core Insights - The semiconductor wafer market is projected to experience a revenue growth of 3.8% by 2025, reaching approximately $14 billion, driven by inventory adjustments, increased order activity, and a rebound in semiconductor production [2] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for wafer revenue is expected to reach 6.4% by 2029, fueled by sustained demand for 300mm wafers and a transition to more advanced logic and packaging technologies [2] Market Trends - In 2024, the silicon wafer market is anticipated to decline, with shipment volume decreasing by 3.6% to 124 billion square inches (MSI) and revenue dropping by 5.8% to around $13.5 billion [4] - The decline is primarily attributed to weakness in the industrial and automotive chip markets, as well as oversupply in the mainstream memory market, which has limited new orders [4] - Shipment volume for 300mm wafers decreased by 1.6%, while smaller diameter wafers saw a more significant decline, particularly those under 150mm, which experienced a drop of over 20% [4] Future Outlook - The silicon wafer market is expected to benefit from growth in artificial intelligence and high-performance computing, leading to increased demands for wafer purity and defect-free production [4] - However, the industry continues to face ongoing pressures from pricing, oversupply in the small diameter wafer segment, and geopolitical risks [4] - China's push for self-sufficiency and its "buy Chinese" policy are impacting global competition and market access [4][5] Strategic Importance - The silicon wafer industry plays a strategic role in enabling next-generation semiconductors and supporting various existing devices, highlighting its long-term global significance [5]