风偏下降，布局结构性机会 | 周度量化观察

Market Overview - The Middle East situation continues to impact global markets, with A-shares declining and the bond market strengthening. The conflict in Iran has created tension, leading to a drop in A-share performance, with only 716 companies rising, marking a recent low [2][4] - On Friday, Trump's statement regarding a decision on attacking Iran within two weeks eased market nerves, resulting in improved performance for both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [2] Bond Market - The bond market remains strong due to a loose funding environment, despite a slight liquidity withdrawal by the central bank. Weak economic data supports the bond market, making it favorable as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical risks [2][8] Commodity Market - Gold prices experienced a weekly decline of over 2% due to a strengthening dollar, while oil prices fluctuated significantly amid geopolitical tensions [3][37] Stock Market - As the second quarter approaches its end, attention on corporate earnings is increasing. The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets has decreased significantly, indicating a recalibration of market expectations [6][15] - The market is expected to focus on structural opportunities, particularly in technology sectors with improving fundamentals and those benefiting from domestic demand policies [7] Industry Performance - In the past week, the banking, communication, and electronics sectors performed well, with respective gains of +2.63%, +1.58%, and +0.95%. Conversely, the pharmaceutical sector saw a decline of -4.35% [21][25] Economic Indicators - Recent economic data shows a year-on-year increase in retail sales of 6.4% for May, while fixed asset investment growth slowed to 3.7%. Real estate investment remains under pressure with a cumulative decline of -10.7% [33]