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李扬:面对稳定币浪潮,中国需双轨并进 | 宏观经济
清华金融评论·2025-06-23 11:21

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of stablecoins in the contemporary international monetary and financial landscape, highlighting the need to clarify their essence, impact, and relationship with sovereign currencies [1][2]. Summary by Sections Nature of Stablecoins - The core value of stablecoins lies in their efficient payment and settlement functions, which are based on blockchain technology, offering significant advantages in payment efficiency and cost [3]. - Unlike volatile cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, stablecoins maintain value stability by anchoring to real assets, primarily US dollar assets, with leading stablecoins like USDT and USDC having over 90% of their assets in short-term US Treasury bonds and repurchase agreements [3]. - The push for stablecoin legislation in the US aims to modernize dollar payments, strengthen the dollar's international position, and create trillions in new demand for US Treasury bonds, effectively extending the influence of the dollar into the digital realm [3]. China's Dual Approach - In response to the stablecoin trend, China must advance on two fronts: promoting the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) as a core task while recognizing the irreversible trend of integration between stablecoins, cryptocurrencies, and traditional financial systems [4]. - Efforts to enhance the use of the RMB in international trade, expand currency swap agreements, and improve cross-border payment systems should continue steadfastly [4]. - The integration of stablecoins, cryptocurrencies, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) is expected to improve payment efficiency and lower costs, reshaping the global payment system and fostering decentralized finance (DeFi) [4]. Development Pathways - China should leverage Hong Kong's financial center status to develop offshore RMB stablecoins, creating controllable international payment channels, with Tether already issuing offshore RMB stablecoins with a circulation exceeding 20 million [5]. - The rise of stablecoins represents a technological upgrade and extension of the US dollar system in the digital age, highlighting the importance of payment and settlement functions [5]. - Strengthening the economic foundation, solidifying the sovereignty of the currency, and pragmatically advancing RMB internationalization are essential for maintaining monetary and financial security [5].