国泰海通｜策略：数字货币：打开跨境结算与融资新路径

Core Insights - The article highlights a stable trading environment for thematic investments, with a notable surge in stablecoins and PCB themes, while new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and rare earth permanent magnet themes are experiencing a pullback. There is optimism for technology-related themes to present new investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Thematic Trading Overview - The average daily trading volume for hot themes from June 16 to 20 was 432 million yuan, with an average turnover rate of 3.35%. Overall, the trading heat for themes has remained stable since June [1] - The structure of hot themes is shifting rapidly, with stablecoin themes leading the market due to concentrated catalysts, while oil and gas development themes remain active amid Middle East turmoil [1] Group 2: Digital Currency - The establishment of an international operating center for digital RMB was proposed at the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, which is expected to facilitate cross-border trade and promote the internationalization of the RMB [2] - The introduction of stablecoin regulations in Hong Kong and the U.S. is anticipated to accelerate the development of the digital currency industry, making stablecoins a vital tool for cross-border payments and corporate financing [2] - Recommendations include focusing on financial innovations in digital currency and cross-border payments, particularly for blockchain and cross-border clearing system providers [2] Group 3: AI Intelligence - Major companies like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Baidu are launching AI intelligence products, with Manus allowing general user registration [2] - AI intelligence is seen as a complete end-to-end solution that enhances data utilization and accelerates the development of vertical applications, becoming a key catalyst for the commercialization of AI applications [2] - Recommendations include investing in internet giants with capital expenditure and user advantages, as well as companies benefiting from increased demand for computing power [2] Group 4: Domestic Consumption - The Chinese government has issued guidelines to improve social security and public services, aiming to boost domestic consumption and stimulate service consumption potential [3] - The focus is on upgrading bulk consumption and leveraging emerging consumption trends, with recommendations for sectors like education, childcare, and domestic brands in cosmetics and trendy toys [3] Group 5: Mergers and Acquisitions - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has revised regulations to encourage mergers and acquisitions, leading to a significant increase in the number of major asset restructuring plans since 2025, which is 3.3 times that of the same period in 2024 [4] - The total value of completed major asset restructuring transactions has exceeded 200 billion yuan, which is 11.6 times that of the same period in 2024 [4] - Recommendations focus on quality asset restructuring in strategic emerging industries like semiconductors and high-end equipment, as well as professional integration in energy resources and public services [4]