关税回调至40.9% 中国储能电池爆单？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent adjustments in tariffs on lithium batteries exported from China to the United States, highlighting the potential recovery of exports and the competitive advantages of Chinese battery manufacturers in the U.S. market despite ongoing uncertainties. Group 1: Event Information - The fifth "Starting Point Two-Wheeled Vehicle Battery Swap Conference" and "Lightweight Power Battery Technology Summit Forum" will be held on July 10-11, 2025, in Shenzhen [2] - The event is sponsored by various companies including Yadi Technology Group, Tailing Group, and others [2] Group 2: Tariff Adjustments - Following the Geneva trade talks, the U.S. significantly reduced tariffs on Chinese electric vehicle batteries to 73.4% and non-vehicle lithium batteries to 40.9%, marking a 115% decrease [3] - Despite the 40.9% tariff on energy storage batteries, Chinese manufacturers, particularly in lithium iron phosphate batteries, maintain a cost advantage of over 30% compared to U.S. production [4] Group 3: Export Trends - In May, China's lithium battery exports to the U.S. dropped to $646 million, a 43% decline from April, attributed to previously high tariffs [5] - Industry analysts expect an increase in exports to the U.S. in June, although it may not return to previous levels due to ongoing tariff uncertainties and changes in U.S. clean energy policies [6] Group 4: Company Responses - Some energy storage companies are ramping up production to meet U.S. demand, with plans to increase inventory in anticipation of future tariff changes [5] - Companies like Ruipu Lanjun report limited impact from tariffs, focusing on expanding markets in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia [7] Group 5: Market Outlook - The demand for energy storage systems remains strong in Europe, Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, driving Chinese companies to accelerate their international expansion [9] - The article notes that while the U.S. market presents uncertainties, the overall outlook for energy storage demand globally remains positive [8][9]