长三角将逼近世界第一

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the rapid economic growth and potential of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region, highlighting its proximity to developed economy standards and its position as a major urban economic cluster globally [5][7]. Economic Overview - In 2024, the YRD's GDP is projected to reach $4.65 trillion, making it the second-largest urban agglomeration in the world, following the Boston-Washington corridor [5][7]. - The YRD's per capita GDP is expected to hit $19,500, just shy of the $20,000 threshold that typically defines developed economies [5][7]. Regional Comparison - The YRD includes Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, while the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) comprises nine cities including Hong Kong and Macau [9][11]. - The YRD has a population of 238 million and an area of 358,000 square kilometers, compared to the GBA's 86.88 million population and 56,000 square kilometers [11]. Historical Context - The YRD's economic development has evolved from the Suzhou model of county-level economies to a more integrated urban cluster, particularly after the establishment of the Shanghai Pudong Development Zone and Suzhou Industrial Park in the 1990s [10]. Economic Density and Trade - Both the YRD and Pearl River Delta (PRD) regions exhibit high economic density, driven by extensive trade facilitated by their numerous ports [13]. - The Yangtze River serves as a critical transportation artery, with its cargo volume surpassing that of the entire Chinese railway system, enhancing the YRD's economic connectivity [15]. Factors Contributing to Success - The geographical advantages of the YRD, including its flat terrain and proximity to major ports like Shanghai and Ningbo-Zhoushan, significantly contribute to its economic growth [15][16]. - The region boasts a rich educational background, producing a high number of academicians and housing top-tier universities, which supports innovation and talent development [16]. Future Growth Drivers - Future growth in the YRD is anticipated to stem from three key areas: Hangzhou's digital economy, Anhui's industrial integration, and the revitalization of Shanghai [19][20]. - Hangzhou is recognized as a vibrant city for innovation, while Anhui's integration into the YRD is bolstered by the rise of local enterprises like iFlytek and NIO [20][21]. - Shanghai's ongoing urban development initiatives aim to enhance its population influx and economic vitality, addressing challenges in industrial transformation [21].