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【笔记20250625— 大A三根阳线,债农郁郁寡欢】
债券笔记·2025-06-25 12:55

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the Chinese stock market and bond market, highlighting the strong performance of the stock market and the challenges faced by bond investors due to rising interest rates and changing government policies [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The stock market has shown strong performance, with a notable increase of over 1% [4]. - The bond market, particularly the 10-year government bond yield, has experienced slight fluctuations, opening at 1.646% and reaching a high of 1.6535% [4][5]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Market Sentiment - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 365.3 billion yuan, resulting in a net injection of 209 billion yuan into the market [2]. - The funding rates remained stable, with DR001 around 1.37% and DR007 around 1.69% [3]. - The Ministry of Finance indicated that it would timely introduce incremental reserve policies, which has led to speculation about potential increases in bond issuance due to the strong stock market performance [4][5]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Bond investors are feeling disheartened as the stock market rallies, contrasting with their expectations for bond yields, which have only decreased by 2 basis points compared to the end of last year [5]. - The upcoming mid-year assessments are causing concern among bond investors, as last year's yield decline was significantly larger at nearly 90 basis points [5].