国内高频 | 集运价格连续上涨（申万宏观·赵伟团队）

Group 1: Industrial Production - Industrial production shows seasonal characteristics of a downturn, with a slight decrease in blast furnace operating rates, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year to 1.0% [2][48] - Midstream production is mixed, with soda ash and polyester filament operating rates increasing by 0.4 percentage points to -3.0% and 3.8% respectively, while PTA operating rates decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 5.0% [2][48] - Cement production and demand remain weak, with national grinding operating rates down 3.6 percentage points to -4.6% and cement shipment rates down 0.2 percentage points to -4.2% [2][48] Group 2: Construction and Infrastructure - Overall infrastructure construction is weak, with asphalt operating rates slightly declining by 0.4 percentage points to 5.3% [2][48] - Cement inventory continues to rise, with a year-on-year increase of 1.1 percentage points to 3.3% [13] Group 3: Demand and Shipping - Port cargo throughput and container throughput have rebounded, increasing by 5.7 percentage points to 3.6% and 4.1 percentage points to 5.3% respectively [2][48] - The average daily transaction area of new homes in 30 major cities has significantly decreased, down 13.9 percentage points year-on-year to -5.1%, with first-tier cities experiencing a drop of 38.3 percentage points to -14.2% [24][48] Group 4: Price Trends - Agricultural product prices have generally declined, with significant drops in egg, fruit, and pork prices, down 1.5%, 1.3%, and 0.4% respectively [3][49] - Industrial product prices have rebounded, with the South China industrial product price index increasing by 3.1% [3][49]