国泰海通 ｜中国股市十大投资主题

Core Viewpoint - The decline in discount rates is a key driver for the rise of the Chinese stock market and creates favorable conditions for thematic investments, with opportunities in both industrial and trading themes. The article focuses on three major directions: cutting-edge technology, advanced manufacturing, and pattern improvement, discussing ten investment themes for the second half of 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Cutting-edge Technology - Theme 1: AI and Embodied Intelligence - AI possesses all essential characteristics for industrial trend investment, with investment paths expected to follow the patterns of "information infrastructure construction," "basic software deployment," "online application explosion," and "restructuring offline industries." The demand for computing power is anticipated to rise significantly [4]. - Embodied intelligence applications are accelerating in fields such as research education, hazardous jobs, and healthcare, with a focus on manufacturers capable of mass production [4]. - Theme 2: Bioeconomy and Brain-Machine Interfaces - Biotechnology is empowering traditional industries, with rapid advancements in synthetic biology and brain-machine integration technologies. The bioeconomy is expanding, benefiting various segments including biopharmaceuticals and bio-based materials [5]. - The brain-machine interface industry is still in the R&D phase, with several tech companies exploring hardware and application breakthroughs [5]. - Theme 3: 6G Communication - 6G is expected to revolutionize communication with lower latency and higher connection density compared to 5G, with research on technical standards starting in 2025 [6]. - The 6G industry chain will focus on breakthroughs in core areas such as chips, semiconductors, and software, with applications in low-altitude economy and smart manufacturing [6]. Group 2: Advanced Manufacturing - Theme 4: Low-altitude Economy and Commercial Space - The low-altitude economy is entering a "manned era," with significant market growth expected by 2026. The demand for satellite launches is anticipated to increase as multiple satellite constellations are deployed [7]. - Recommendations include companies involved in low-altitude vehicle manufacturing and satellite manufacturing services [7]. - Theme 5: Deep-sea Technology - The government has emphasized deep-sea technology, with policies accelerating the industrialization process. The marine economy is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan by 2024 [8]. - Recommendations include companies benefiting from deep-sea resource development and those involved in marine engineering equipment [8]. - Theme 6: Self-sufficiency - The semiconductor sector is a focal point in the technology competition, with policies promoting domestic mergers and acquisitions to enhance the industry chain [9]. - Recommendations include leading companies in semiconductor equipment and materials [9]. Group 3: Pattern Improvement - Theme 7: Intelligent Driving - The penetration of advanced intelligent driving technologies is accelerating, with cost reductions in related hardware expected due to scale effects [10]. - Recommendations include companies producing intelligent driving chips and components [10]. - Theme 8: New Consumption Brands - The consumption recovery is showing a "K-shaped" divergence, with traditional consumption under pressure while new consumption is gaining momentum [11]. - Recommendations include emerging consumption sectors such as domestic beauty brands and pet economy [11]. - Theme 9: Price Cycle Products - Some cyclical industries are beginning to reduce capacity due to oversupply, with expectations for improved supply-demand dynamics in the real estate and industrial raw materials sectors [12]. - Recommendations include companies in construction materials and steel [12]. - Theme 10: Regional Economy - The urgency to address regional development imbalances is increasing, with accelerated infrastructure investment in the western regions [12]. - Recommendations include companies benefiting from infrastructure investments and those in the tourism sector related to Hainan's free trade port [12].