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经历了3年弯路,3次毒打!我终于凝练出理财的终极答案...
雪球·2025-06-27 10:34

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the author's investment journey, highlighting three major pitfalls and the lessons learned from them, ultimately advocating for a disciplined, diversified investment strategy that emphasizes index investing and dynamic rebalancing [2][3][4]. Group 1: Investment Pitfalls - Pitfall One: Speculative Traps - The author experienced significant losses during the "924 market" in 2024, where media hype led to a rush into the market, resulting in immediate losses after chasing high prices [2]. - Pitfall Two: Overestimating and Overinvesting - Initial small gains in U.S. stock investments turned into substantial losses after a major market drop in April 2025, emphasizing the danger of ignoring valuation safety margins [3]. - Pitfall Three: Illusory Diversification - The belief that holding multiple funds equated to risk diversification was proven wrong, as the portfolio was highly correlated, leading to extreme volatility [4]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The author developed a low-correlation asset allocation strategy after learning about asset correlation theory, which includes a 30% allocation to a bond index as a stabilizing force [4]. - The ultimate investment philosophy distilled from three years of experience is summarized as: "Index investing, all-weather strategy, dynamic rebalancing," which aims to embrace market beta returns while balancing risk [4][5]. - The proposed asset allocation includes 15% in A-share dividend low volatility, 15% in A-share cash flow index, 15% in S&P 500, 15% in NASDAQ 100, 8% in gold ETFs, and 2% in crude oil futures for inflation hedging [4][5].