Core Viewpoint - The evolving climate commitments of countries require investors to adjust their interpretations and strategies accordingly, as these commitments signal future economic directions and climate risks [1][2]. Group 1: Climate Commitment Progress - The progress towards achieving climate goals may be stagnating, with only 13 out of 195 countries submitting updated 2035 emission reduction targets by the deadline [2]. - The urgency and political attention surrounding climate commitments have diminished due to competing global issues such as war, inflation, and geopolitical tensions [2]. - Despite varying levels of government support for energy transition, the shift is reshaping global market dynamics driven by technology, regulation, and finance [2]. Group 2: Integration of Climate Commitments and Investment Analysis - LSEG provides data, models, and research to help investors interpret the intentions and feasibility behind national climate commitments [3]. - The latest "Net Zero Atlas" aligns emission reduction targets with sovereign decarbonization pathways, assessing the compatibility of these commitments with the goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C [3][4]. - As of now, only 20 updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) have been submitted, with some countries' commitments still aligning with the 1.5°C target while others indicate a trajectory exceeding 2°C [4]. Group 3: Long-term Climate Goals - LSEG has developed a global dataset identifying over 100 countries with announced long-term climate goals, with 81 aiming for net-zero emissions by 2050 [6]. - Some countries have earlier targets (e.g., Germany by 2045), while others have later targets (e.g., China by 2060, India by 2070) [6]. - The dataset quantifies the scope and specifics of these goals, highlighting whether they are legally binding or merely public commitments, and which greenhouse gases are included [6]. Group 4: Investor Needs Beyond Targets - Investors require more than just targets; they need clear information on policy frameworks, industry implementation pathways, and funding requirements to make climate commitments actionable [8]. - LSEG's tools track not only overall targets but also critical aspects such as interim milestones, legal enforceability, gas coverage, and financing dependencies [9]. - Understanding the specifics of these commitments is crucial for investors assessing future emission risks and transition exposures [9].
从政策到投资组合:气候承诺能为投资者揭示哪些未来风险与机遇
Refinitiv路孚特·2025-06-30 03:30