财富FORTUNE·2025-07-01 13:01Core Viewpoint - Shell has denied any intention to acquire BP, citing a UK law that prohibits such a move for six months, focusing instead on its internal performance [1][2]. Group 1: Shell's Position - Shell clarified that it is not actively considering a bid for BP and has not engaged in any discussions regarding a potential acquisition [2]. - The statement was made in accordance with UK takeover rules, ensuring that Shell cannot change its position without specific conditions being met [2]. - Shell's focus remains on its own strategic goals rather than pursuing a large, debt-laden acquisition [2]. Group 2: BP's Situation - BP is currently in a financial struggle and is seeking to restructure by cutting costs, increasing fossil fuel investments, and divesting renewable energy assets [1]. - There are no clear alternative buyers for BP, as it seeks a "hard reset" to improve its market position [1][3]. Group 3: Market Analysis - Analysts suggest that any potential acquisition of BP by Shell is unlikely to occur before 2026, given BP's underperformance compared to global peers [3]. - The market perception of BP remains weak, and Shell's withdrawal from the acquisition talks further complicates BP's recovery prospects [3][4]. Group 4: Acquisition Challenges - Only a few companies have the capacity to acquire BP, which has a market value of $80 billion but is underperforming [4]. - Other potential buyers like ExxonMobil and Chevron are currently engaged in their own large-scale acquisitions, making them less likely candidates [4]. - Regulatory challenges could hinder any acquisition attempts, especially from foreign entities, with Shell potentially being viewed as a more acceptable buyer from a UK regulatory perspective [6]. Group 5: Shareholder Expectations - There is a question of whether Shell's shareholders prioritize growth or capital discipline and returns, as the industry has not rewarded growth-seeking strategies in a long time [7]. - BP's shareholders may need to exercise patience as the company navigates its financial restructuring, which could take several years [8]. Group 6: Debt Concerns - BP's debt situation, particularly residual liabilities from the 2010 Deepwater Horizon incident, poses significant risks for any potential acquirer [9]. - Analysts believe that merging with BP could dilute Shell's key performance metrics and contradict its communicated strategic focus [9].