贝塔投资智库·2025-07-02 04:04Core Viewpoint - The Republican Party has canceled the consumption tax on wind and solar projects at the last moment, leading to a significant rise in U.S. solar stocks. However, concerns remain regarding the potential increase in costs for renewable energy developers due to reliance on foreign components and supply chains dominated by China [1][2]. Group 1: Tax Legislation Impact - The latest tax and spending bill passed by the U.S. Senate includes a gradual phase-out of tax credits for solar and wind energy starting in 2026, with complete elimination by 2028. Projects must be operational by the end of 2027 to qualify for tax credits [2]. - The bill allows nuclear tax credits to continue until 2036, while hydrogen tax credits will be eliminated by 2028 [2]. Group 2: Industry Reactions - The President of the Solar Energy Industries Association expressed concerns that the bill undermines the recovery of U.S. manufacturing and the country's global energy leadership, predicting higher electricity costs for households and potential job losses [2]. - Some U.S. manufacturers support the proposed tax changes, emphasizing the need to reduce dependence on China's clean energy supply chain [1]. Group 3: Legislative Challenges - The bill, known as the "Big and Beautiful Act," passed the Senate with a narrow margin of 51 to 50 but faces significant challenges in the House of Representatives due to concerns from some Republican lawmakers about its impact on the federal deficit [2]. - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill could increase the federal deficit by at least $3 trillion over the next decade [2].