私募排排网·2025-07-05 09:05Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant policy boost for innovative drugs in China, with a new comprehensive support system established for the entire lifecycle of innovative drugs, leading to a surge in related stock prices [2][4]. Policy Support - On June 30, the National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission issued 16 targeted measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, marking a systematic approach to policy support [2][4]. - The innovative drug industry in China has entered a "policy-driven growth" phase, with a projected 310% increase in cumulative payments for negotiated drugs by the National Medical Insurance Fund in the first half of 2025, reaching 410 billion yuan [4]. Market Performance - As of July 4, stocks related to innovative drugs have shown significant gains, with companies like Saily Medical achieving a four-day consecutive rise and Guangshengtang a two-day consecutive rise [2]. - The approval of innovative drugs has accelerated, with 48 first-class innovative drugs approved in 2024, five times more than in 2018, and nearly 40 approved in the first half of 2025, accounting for 83.33% of the total for 2024 [4]. Investment Opportunities - The article lists A-share companies in the innovative drug sector that are worth considering based on their recent performance, valuation, and business fundamentals [4][10]. - Notable companies include Saily Medical, Guangshengtang, and others that have shown substantial stock price increases and are focusing on innovative drug development [4][10]. Financial Performance - The revenue of innovative drug companies in A-shares has grown from 30.07 billion yuan in 2018 to 62.8 billion yuan in 2024, with a 21.51% year-on-year increase in the first quarter of 2025 [10]. - A total of 43 innovative drug companies reported both revenue and profit growth in the first quarter of 2025, with nine companies achieving significant increases in net profit [10]. R&D Investment - Continuous high R&D investment is crucial for the growth of innovative drug companies, with 30 A-share companies reporting R&D expenses above the average of 400 million yuan, and 16 of them showing year-on-year growth [12][13]. Valuation Insights - Despite significant stock price increases, the rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for innovative drug companies remains at 32 times, indicating potential undervaluation [18]. - The article suggests that 2025 could mark the beginning of a new investment cycle for innovative drugs, with expectations for revenue growth, profitability, and valuation increases [18].