Deepseek “严重烂尾”？英伟达再创历史新高！说好的“东升西落”呢？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the declining user engagement of Deepseek, with active user rates dropping from 15% during the Spring Festival to 3% currently, indicating significant dissatisfaction with the product [1][8]. Group 1: Deepseek's Challenges - Deepseek's R2 upgrade has faced delays, primarily due to founder Liang Wenfeng's dissatisfaction with model performance and a shortage of NVIDIA H20 chips, which are critical for training [7][8]. - User complaints about Deepseek have increased, citing issues such as bugs, slow response times, and overall poor usability, leading to a perception of the platform as a "high-end chat toy" rather than a reliable AI tool [8][9]. - The content quality of Deepseek has deteriorated due to its reliance on the Chinese internet, resulting in a feedback loop of misinformation and reduced trust among users [9]. Group 2: NVIDIA's Market Position - NVIDIA's stock price reached a historic high of $160.98, with a market capitalization of approximately $3.92 trillion, surpassing Apple's previous record [10][12]. - The company's stock has seen a cumulative increase of 17.92% since June and 18.67% year-to-date, driven by the surging demand for AI chips [11][12]. - NVIDIA's dominance in the AI chip market remains unchallenged, with its data center revenue reaching $39.1 billion, a 73% year-over-year increase, and the Blackwell architecture chips accounting for nearly 70% of this revenue [12][13]. Group 3: A-Share Market Dynamics - The A-share market has seen a focus on bank stocks, with significant gains in this sector, while technology stocks have struggled to perform, leading to a narrative of "East Rising, West Falling" [3][15]. - Bank stocks have shown remarkable performance, with 15 out of 42 bank stocks reaching historical highs, and the sector's market capitalization increasing by 2.38 trillion yuan from the end of 2024 [16][17]. - The article highlights the need for technology and thematic stocks to generate profit to sustain market momentum, as the current reliance on bank stocks may not be sustainable in the long term [17].