黄金，央行越买越少

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has been increasing its gold reserves consistently for eight months, with a total of 2,298.55 tons as of June 30, 2023, although the pace of accumulation has slowed down compared to previous years [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Reserve Changes - In the first half of 2023, the People's Bank of China added a total of 18.97 tons of gold, which is nearly 10 tons less than the 28.93 tons added in the same period last year [1][2]. - The monthly gold purchases by the central bank have shown a decreasing trend, with May 2023 recording the lowest monthly addition of 1.87 tons [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Purchases - The slowdown in gold accumulation is attributed to three main factors: the need to control purchase costs, the optimization of foreign exchange reserve structure, and the rising gold prices expected in 2025 [2][3]. - The central bank's strategy is influenced by the weakening credibility of the US dollar and the increasing demand for diversification in foreign exchange reserves due to global economic uncertainties [5]. Group 3: Global Trends in Gold Accumulation - In the first quarter of 2023, global central banks added only 244 tons of gold, a 21% decrease compared to the previous year, indicating a broader trend of reduced gold purchases [4]. - Despite the decrease in gold accumulation, there is a strong expectation among central banks to continue increasing their gold reserves in the coming years, with 72% of central banks indicating plans to add to their gold holdings [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook for Gold Prices - Analysts suggest that the second half of 2023 may see fluctuations in gold prices, with potential for increases due to ongoing geopolitical risks and the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5].