XWXN(SH:688778) 鑫椤锂电·2025-07-08 06:09Core Viewpoint - The lithium cobalt oxide production in China for the first half of 2025 is projected to reach 53,700 tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 27.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.7% [2] Production Summary - The growth rate of lithium cobalt oxide production in the first half of this year is not rapid on a quarter-on-quarter basis, as the demand recovery began in the second half of last year. The fluctuations in U.S. tariffs and the events in the Democratic Republic of Congo in February led to panic stocking by downstream battery manufacturers in March and April, resulting in increased shipments from material manufacturers [4] Demand Summary - In the first half of this year, high-end digital products maintained slight growth, while battery swapping (black skin) remained stable, and the e-cigarette market showed a steady decline [5] Market Share Summary - The market concentration of the lithium cobalt oxide industry remains high, with the top five companies holding a market share of 88.5%. Xiamen Tungsten's new energy segment benefited from the continued growth in demand from ATL, Guanyu, and Liwei, with a significant increase in shipments of high-voltage models (4.5V and above), maintaining a leading market share of 52% [7] Future Market Outlook - IDC revised its forecast for global smartphone shipments in 2025 from a year-on-year growth of 2.3% to 0.6%. The domestic smartphone market experienced a year-on-year decline for the first time this year. However, with the release of the iPhone 17 and new domestic models, along with growth in niche markets driven by AI and 5G technologies, there will be some incremental growth in smartwatches, AI headphones, and smart glasses. Overall, the lithium cobalt oxide market is expected to show steady growth, with domestic production projected to reach 104,000 tons in 2025 [9]