TCL中环，预计亏损40-45亿

Core Viewpoint - TCL Zhonghuan is expected to report a net loss of 4 billion to 4.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to declining product prices and inventory pressure despite a resilient global photovoltaic installation growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is projected to be a loss of 400 million to 450 million yuan, compared to a loss of 306.36 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be a loss of 410 million to 460 million yuan, compared to a loss of 348.85 million yuan year-on-year [2]. - Basic earnings per share are projected to be a loss of 1.0017 to 1.1269 yuan per share, compared to a loss of 0.7680 yuan per share in the previous year [2]. - In 2024, TCL Zhonghuan reported an operating income of 28.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 52%, and a net profit loss of 9.82 billion yuan, a decline of 387.4% [2]. Production and Market Position - In 2024, the company shipped 125.8 GW of photovoltaic silicon wafers, a year-on-year increase of 10.5%, maintaining a market share of 18.9% [3]. - As of Q1 2025, the company's production capacity reached 200 GW, with the 210 series products' shipment ratio continuously increasing, and the export market share exceeding 55% [3]. - The company’s component shipments for 2024 were 8.3 GW, with Q1 2025 component shipments reaching 1.9 GW, a year-on-year increase of 19% [3]. Industry Trends and Challenges - The photovoltaic industry is currently at a low point, and TCL Zhonghuan's performance is indicative of broader industry challenges, with expectations that other companies will report similar results [3]. - Recent discussions led by Li Lecheng, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, emphasized the need for the photovoltaic industry to focus on quality improvement and the orderly exit of outdated production capacity to achieve sustainable development [4].