SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) 经济观察报·2025-07-12 07:55Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent recovery in sales of joint venture car manufacturers in China, highlighting the factors contributing to this turnaround and the ongoing challenges in the electric vehicle (EV) transition [1][2]. Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, most joint venture car manufacturers, except for Honda and Dongfeng Nissan, experienced sales growth, with FAW Toyota leading at a 16% increase [2][3]. - FAW-Volkswagen sold 436,100 vehicles, a 3.5% increase, while SAIC Volkswagen's sales reached 523,000, up 2.3% [3][4]. - The overall retail sales of mainstream joint venture brands in June increased by 5% year-on-year, with classic fuel vehicles like the Lavida and Sagitar performing well [4]. Fuel Vehicle Recovery - Joint venture manufacturers have relied on fuel vehicles to recover from previous declines, with notable increases in market share for brands like FAW-Volkswagen and GAC Toyota [3][4]. - The performance of fuel vehicles has been bolstered by the introduction of intelligent features, as manufacturers recognize the need to enhance competitiveness in this segment [7][8]. Electric Vehicle Challenges - Despite the recovery in fuel vehicle sales, joint venture brands continue to struggle in the EV market, with a penetration rate of only 5.3% compared to 75.4% for domestic brands [4]. - The lack of standout models in the EV segment has hindered growth, with only a few models like Volkswagen's ID series and Toyota's bZ series showing relative success [4]. Strategic Adjustments - Analysts suggest that joint venture manufacturers have adjusted their strategies to focus on fuel vehicle intelligence and have partnered with local tech companies to enhance their offerings [7][9]. - The shift towards localization in management and product development is seen as a crucial factor for improving market performance [9][10]. Future Outlook - The market share of foreign and joint venture brands is projected to decline, with predictions suggesting a drop from 40% to around 10% in the next 3-5 years [13][14]. - The electric vehicle transition remains a critical issue, with many manufacturers reconsidering their aggressive EV plans due to profitability concerns and changing market dynamics [12][14]. - The competition is expected to intensify between domestic EV brands and traditional fuel vehicle manufacturers, with both sides facing unique challenges [14][15].