【舜宇光学科技（2382.HK）】持续看好盈利超预期，光学规格提升+车载出货加速——跟踪点评报告（付天姿/王贇）

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and outlook of the mobile camera module and lens industry, highlighting a positive trend in shipments and profitability driven by high-end product demand and technological advancements [3][4][5]. Group 1: Mobile Camera Modules - In June, mobile camera module shipments increased by 11.1% month-on-month and 0.7% year-on-year, marking the first positive year-on-year growth in 2025H1, primarily due to customer project cycles [3]. - The total mobile camera module shipments in 2025H1 decreased by 21.0% year-on-year, falling below the lower limit of the annual growth guidance of +5% to +10%, attributed to a focus on mid-to-high-end projects and a high base from the previous year [3]. - The expectation for 2025H2 is a year-on-year increase in mobile camera module shipments due to the traditional peak season for Android devices [3]. Group 2: Mobile Lenses - In June, mobile lens shipments decreased by 3.1% month-on-month and 12.7% year-on-year, with the decline mainly due to a focus on mid-to-high-end projects [3]. - For the first half of 2025, mobile lens shipments fell by 6.4% year-on-year, which is below the annual growth guidance of +5% [3]. - An anticipated increase in mobile lens shipments in 2025H2 is expected due to a peak season for major clients [3]. Group 3: Other Lenses - Other lens shipments in June saw a month-on-month decrease of 1.1% but a year-on-year increase of 37.4%, driven by significant growth in the IoT lens segment and an increase in market share [3]. - For the first half of 2025, other lens shipments increased by 45.5% year-on-year [3]. Group 4: Profitability Outlook - The company expects a 7.1% year-on-year increase in global camera module procurement value in 2025, with a focus on miniaturization and high-performance video demands [4]. - The share of miniaturized and high-end products in procurement value is projected to increase by 2.4 percentage points and 8.2 percentage points, respectively, reaching 5.2% and 42.6% [4]. - The anticipated gross margin for mobile camera modules is close to 10%, while for mobile lenses, it is near 30% in 2025 [4]. Group 5: Automotive Lenses - In June, automotive lens shipments increased by 3.2% month-on-month and 44.6% year-on-year, indicating accelerated growth [5]. - For the first half of 2025, automotive lens shipments rose by 21.7%, exceeding the annual growth guidance of +15% to +20% [5]. - The "Smart Driving Equality" initiative by BYD is expected to drive significant growth in the automotive lens industry, with global shipments projected to exceed 400 million units in 2025, corresponding to a year-on-year growth of 26% [5].