投资前瞻：多项经济数据将公布

Market News - The Shanghai Stock Exchange officially released the "Self-Regulatory Supervision Guidelines for Sci-Tech Innovation Board Listed Companies No. 5 - Sci-Tech Growth Tier" on July 13, emphasizing the enhancement of investor suitability management. The reform does not introduce new trading thresholds for individual investors, maintaining the requirement of "500,000 yuan in assets + 2 years of experience" [2] - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on July 14 to introduce the import and export situation for the first half of 2025, and another press conference in the afternoon to discuss financial statistics for the same period [2] - On July 15, the National Bureau of Statistics will release economic data including June's industrial added value, fixed asset investment, and retail sales of consumer goods, along with national economic operation data for the first half of the year [2] Sector Matters - China National Offshore Oil Corporation announced on July 13 that 24 sets of 2000-meter ultra-deepwater suction anchors, built independently by China, have been shipped to Brazil, marking a significant recognition of "Chinese manufacturing" in the international mainstream market [5] - The white feather meat duck industry has begun a capacity reduction battle, with approximately 9 million breeding ducks eliminated since December last year due to continuous losses. The daily output of ducklings has decreased by about 2 million, but remains significantly higher than market demand [6] - The price of polysilicon has surged over 16% in a single week, rising from 30,400 yuan/ton to a peak of 42,265 yuan/ton, marking a 39% increase over 14 trading days [7] Individual Stock Events - Degute announced on July 13 plans to issue shares and pay cash to acquire 100% of Haowei Technology, along with raising matching funds [9] - Yuanli Co. is planning to acquire control of Fujian Tongsheng New Materials Technology Co., as announced on July 13 [10] - Kanghua Bio announced on July 13 that its controlling shareholder is planning a change in control, which may lead to a change in the company's controlling shareholder [11] - Zijin Mining expects a net profit of approximately 23.2 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 54% [13] - Lanke Technology forecasts a net profit growth of 85.5% to 102.36% for the first half of 2025, estimating between 1.1 billion to 1.2 billion yuan [14] Lock-up Stock Release - According to Wind data, 42 companies will have lock-up stocks released from July 14 to July 18, with a total release volume of 1.604 billion shares, valued at approximately 27.74 billion yuan [16] - The highest release value on July 14 is approximately 16.855 billion yuan, accounting for about 60.76% of the total release scale for the week [16] - The top three companies by release value are Tianyue Advanced (7.487 billion yuan), Maiwei Bio-U (5.420 billion yuan), and Baoli Food (3.010 billion yuan) [16] New Stock Calendar - From July 14 to July 18, there are two new stocks available for subscription, both starting on July 14: Shanda Electric Power listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and Jiyuan Group listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [19] Institutional Outlook - Shenwan Hongyuan indicates that the market has developed a "bull market atmosphere," with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through previous highs, enhancing risk appetite and trading activity [21] - CITIC Securities expects the market's central tendency to continue to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching new highs in 2025 due to favorable macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment [22] - Guotai Junan predicts that the Hong Kong stock market will see a bull market in the second half of the year, driven by the revaluation of Chinese technology assets and the attractiveness of scarce assets in AI applications, innovative drugs, and new consumption [24]