Market Overview - The convertible bond market continued to rise during the week of July 7 to July 11, 2025, with the China Convertible Bond Index increasing by +0.8%, marking three consecutive weeks of growth [3] - Year-to-date, the China Convertible Bond Index has risen by +8.8%, outperforming the China All Share Index, which has increased by +6.2% [3][7] Performance by Rating and Size - High-rated bonds (AA+ and above), medium-rated bonds (AA), and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) saw weekly changes of +0.84%, +1.02%, and +0.95% respectively, with medium-rated bonds showing the highest increase [4] - In terms of bond size, large-scale bonds (over 5 billion) increased by +0.86%, medium-scale bonds (between 500 million and 5 billion) rose by +1.08%, and small-scale bonds (under 500 million) increased by +0.89%, again with medium-scale bonds leading the gains [4] Price and Valuation Metrics - The average price of convertible bonds is 125.67 yuan, up from 124.53 yuan the previous week, with a percentile value of 95.3% [5][6] - The average conversion price is 98.75 yuan, an increase from 96.58 yuan, with a percentile value of 86.8% [6] - The average conversion premium is 26.9%, down from 28.2% the previous week, with a percentile value of 53.5% [6] Sector Performance - The top 30 performing convertible bonds are primarily from the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors (4 bonds each) and the bottom 30 are mainly from the automotive (5 bonds), light manufacturing (4 bonds), and chemical sectors (4 bonds) [4][7] Future Outlook - The fundamental and macroeconomic policies are crucial factors influencing the convertible bond market, with a focus on areas that can boost domestic demand and counteract excessive competition [7]
【固收】连续三周上涨——可转债周报(2025年7月7日至2025年7月11日)(张旭/李枢川)
光大证券研究·2025-07-13 13:47