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红利也往香江去
远川投资评论·2025-07-14 02:37

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital has been actively acquiring shares in listed companies, with 19 instances recorded in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong demand for stable investment opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Trends - The companies favored by insurance capital are primarily in sectors such as banking, environmental protection, transportation, and public utilities, characterized by low valuations and substantial dividend payouts [2][10]. - The shift in investment strategy reflects a broader trend of long-term funds moving from fixed-income assets to equity markets due to declining long-term interest rates [7][10]. - High dividend stocks are regaining investor attention as they provide stable cash flow and lower price volatility compared to other equity assets [7][10]. Group 2: Dividend Strategy - The diversity of dividend strategies is evident, with companies opting for either high dividend payouts or more cost-effective dividend distributions [3][4]. - High dividend-paying companies are typically found in mature industries, where growth opportunities are limited, leading to a focus on returning profits to shareholders [5][10]. - The China Securities Dividend Index, which tracks the top 100 high dividend stocks in A-shares, currently shows an overall dividend yield of approximately 5.5%, significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield of 1.67% [9][10]. Group 3: Central Enterprises and Market Dynamics - Insurance capital is increasingly targeting Hong Kong-listed central enterprises, which exhibit stable earnings and high dividend yields [16][21]. - The valuation of Hong Kong stocks has historically been lower than that of A-shares, making them more attractive from a dividend yield perspective [17][18]. - The Hong Kong Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (513910) has a dividend yield of 7.94%, even after accounting for a 20% dividend tax, outperforming similar A-share assets [21][28]. Group 4: Policy and Management Improvements - Recent improvements in the management efficiency of central enterprises, driven by policies such as the inclusion of cash dividends in market value management metrics, have led to a systematic revaluation of these companies [27][28]. - The proportion of institutional investors in central enterprises has increased by 3 percentage points year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, indicating growing confidence in these entities [26]. Group 5: Strategic Insights - The investment behavior of insurance capital mirrors that of Berkshire Hathaway, focusing on stable, high-dividend yielding assets that are essential to the economy [31][33]. - The Hong Kong Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (513910) is positioned as an optimal choice for investors seeking to benefit from both dividend income and the potential gains from central enterprise reforms [34].