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摩尔投研精选·2025-07-14 10:40

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations with mixed performance across major indices, and there is potential for increased capital inflow as trading volume has decreased significantly from last week [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market showed a divergence today, with major indices exhibiting varied performance [1]. - Trading volume has shrunk to below 1.5 trillion, indicating a substantial decrease from last week's 1.7 trillion, suggesting room for increased capital entry [1]. Group 2: Sector Performance - Robotics stocks surged collectively, with Zhongdali gaining the daily limit [2]. - Power and grid stocks also strengthened, with Jingyuntong hitting the daily limit [2]. - Precious metals stocks were active, with Hunan Silver reaching the daily limit [2]. - Conversely, major financial stocks faced collective adjustments, with Nanhua Futures hitting the daily limit down [2]. Group 3: Monetary Policy Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) plans to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on enhancing domestic demand and stabilizing market expectations [5]. - The PBOC emphasizes financial services for the real economy, particularly in technology innovation and support for small and micro enterprises [5]. - There is a focus on improving the execution and supervision of interest rate policies to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization and prevent fund idling [5]. Group 4: Anti-Competition Measures - The upcoming political bureau meeting will shift macroeconomic focus, with an emphasis on addressing "involution" in competition [6][7]. - The government aims to establish rules to eliminate local protectionism and market segmentation, facilitating smoother economic circulation [7]. - The concept of "anti-involution" is expected to permeate various industries, with significant implications for future policy [9]. Group 5: Industry Trends - The future of anti-involution will focus on two core areas: supporting new technologies and hard tech, and eliminating outdated production capacity [10][12]. - The solar energy sector, despite facing challenges, is still expected to grow due to increasing demand [15]. - Recent price increases in polysilicon and other components within the solar industry indicate a potential recovery and valuation correction in the sector [17]. - Institutional holdings in the solar sector have decreased significantly, suggesting a potential for reallocation as market conditions improve [18].