CATL(SZ:300750) 鑫椤锂电·2025-07-15 02:22Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future outlook of the ternary precursor market in China and globally, highlighting a decline in production and the competitive landscape influenced by demand for high-nickel materials and the supply chain dynamics led by major companies like CATL [2][6]. Group 1: Production Data - In the first half of 2025, China's ternary precursor production was 405,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, while global production was 463,000 tons, down 6.8% [2]. - The demand for medium-nickel high-voltage materials is primarily driven by the domestic market, significantly influenced by the supply chain of CATL [4]. Group 2: Market Competition - Domestic companies hold a global market share of 87.6%, showing a slight year-on-year decline due to increased precursor capacity in South Korea [6]. - Companies like Hunan Bangpu and Lanzhou Jintong have seen significant order increases due to the growing demand from CATL, with strong growth in the first half of the year [6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The focus for terminal demand in the second half of the year will remain on medium-nickel high-voltage and high-nickel materials, with expectations for production and sales growth from relevant companies [7]. - New precursor capacities, particularly in South Korea, are anticipated to come online in the second half of the year, with LG Chem's announcement of mass production of non-precursor cathodes also being noteworthy for future market penetration [7].