宁玉强：生物制造产业核心领域现状和趋势研判

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development and potential of the biomanufacturing industry, highlighting its role in the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the significant growth opportunities it presents in various sectors, particularly in China [3][4]. Industry Overview - Biomanufacturing is defined as an advanced production method centered on industrial biotechnology, utilizing biological resources and processes to produce target products at scale [5]. - The global biomanufacturing industry is projected to reach approximately $12,190 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%, and is expected to exceed $20 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.4% [9]. Market Dynamics - In China, the biomanufacturing industry is anticipated to reach a scale of 1.01 trillion yuan in 2024, growing by 15.4%, and is expected to surpass 2.5 trillion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 16.8% [9][10]. - The top three segments in China's biomanufacturing industry in 2024 will be biopharmaceuticals, biological food, and bio-chemical products, with biopharmaceuticals remaining the largest segment [10]. Technological Advancements - The industry is experiencing a shift from traditional resource reliance to technology-driven approaches, with significant improvements in biomass resource utilization and equipment efficiency [8]. - Innovations in biopharmaceuticals, such as the development of bispecific antibodies and ADC drugs, have seen an annual growth of 65% in product pipelines [8][12]. Application and Impact - In the medical field, biomanufacturing technologies like 3D printing are enabling personalized implants, achieving gross margins of 75% [9]. - In agriculture, microbial fertilizers have improved corn yields by 12% while reducing chemical fertilizer usage by 30% [9]. Future Trends - The article outlines several key trends, including the restructuring of industrial ecosystems, regional layout changes, deepening technological revolutions, product innovation iterations, and capital factor restructuring [17][18][19]. - The integration of AI and biotechnology is expected to enhance production efficiency and product quality, with significant implications for the industry [18]. Strategic Recommendations - Companies are encouraged to build a three-dimensional competitive system focusing on technology research and development, scene innovation, and ecosystem construction [20]. - Local governments should create a supportive industrial service matrix to foster the growth of the biomanufacturing sector [20].