中金：美国为何要推行稳定币？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the U.S. government's push for stablecoins as a strategic move to enhance innovation in digital finance, increase demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, and maintain the dollar's dominance in the global economy, particularly in the context of rising geopolitical risks and competition from other countries' digital currencies [1][6][12]. Group 1: Encouraging Innovation - The U.S. aims to solidify its leadership in technology and finance by establishing regulatory frameworks for stablecoins, which are seen as essential for the development of a new financial ecosystem [4][5]. - The introduction of stablecoin legislation is intended to foster innovation while protecting consumers and ensuring the U.S. remains competitive in the Web3 space [4][5]. Group 2: Increasing Demand for U.S. Treasury Bonds - There has been a significant decline in foreign ownership of U.S. Treasury bonds, dropping from 14.6% in 2011 to 4.9% by the end of 2024, raising concerns about "de-dollarization" [8][9]. - The U.S. government plans to link stablecoins with Treasury bonds to boost demand, with stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle already holding substantial amounts of U.S. debt [10][11]. Group 3: Rebuilding Dollar Dominance - Emerging economies are seeking alternatives to the dollar, prompting U.S. officials to advocate for stablecoins as a means to counteract "de-dollarization" and promote "re-dollarization" [12][13]. - Stablecoins are viewed as a way to maintain the dollar's status as the global reserve currency, especially in high-inflation countries where residents are increasingly turning to dollar-pegged stablecoins for savings [13][14]. Group 4: Trump Family Interests and the Crypto Industry - The Trump family has significant financial ties to the crypto industry, with investments leading to substantial wealth increases, which influences the push for favorable policies towards stablecoins [15][16]. Group 5: Legislative Pathways - The U.S. Congress is advancing several key pieces of legislation aimed at establishing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, including the GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and Anti-CBDC Monitoring Act [18][20][21]. - These laws are designed to create a transparent and compliant environment for stablecoin issuance, ensuring that they are fully backed by high-quality liquid assets [19][22]. Group 6: Challenges and Global Implications - The article highlights the potential for stablecoins to become a "new offshore dollar," but also notes the risks associated with their cross-border use and the regulatory challenges posed by different jurisdictions [26][30]. - Concerns are raised about the financial vulnerabilities of stablecoins, particularly in the context of their connections to traditional banking systems and the potential for systemic risks during market downturns [31][32].