李礼辉：稳定币，美国的动机和香港的定位｜金融与科技

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving landscape of stablecoins, highlighting the regulatory developments in the U.S. and Hong Kong, and the implications for global finance and the international monetary system [4][10][14]. Group 1: U.S. Stablecoin Developments - The U.S. stablecoin legislation emphasizes an "America First" principle, allowing only domestic issuers and restricting foreign issuers to those from countries with comparable regulations [10][11]. - U.S. short-term government bonds remain the preferred asset for stablecoins, with a projected demand of $1.6 trillion by 2028 [12]. - The introduction of stablecoins is seen as a strategy to maintain U.S. dollar dominance and mitigate the risks associated with the country's structural trade and fiscal deficits [9][13]. Group 2: Hong Kong's Stablecoin Framework - Hong Kong's stablecoin regulation aims to create a unified regulatory framework, focusing on payment functions and full reserve backing [16][18]. - The positioning of Hong Kong's stablecoin is uncertain, particularly whether it will serve solely as a payment tool or also as an investment tool [18][19]. - The potential for Hong Kong's stablecoin to link China with global markets is significant, especially given the rapid growth of cross-border payments [20][21]. Group 3: Global Financial Implications - The rise of stablecoins poses challenges to existing financial systems, with concerns about speculative trading and regulatory oversight [6][23]. - The article suggests that the international monetary system may evolve towards a multipolar structure, with the need for enhanced regulatory frameworks to manage risks associated with decentralized finance [14][23]. - The integration of digital currencies and stablecoins into the global payment system could reshape financial transactions and international trade dynamics [22][23].