国泰海通 · 晨报0717｜固收、有色、轻工

Group 1: Key Points on Sci-Tech Bonds ETF - The development of the sci-tech bond market has gone through three stages, with significant growth in issuance since the new policy was introduced in May 2025, reaching over 585 billion yuan by June 2025, which is nearly 50% of the total expected issuance for 2024 [1] - The first batch of 10 sci-tech bond ETFs was completed on July 7, 2025, tracking high-rated public technology innovation company bonds, with a total sample bond balance exceeding 1 trillion yuan [2] - The introduction of sci-tech bond ETFs is expected to enhance the risk-return profile of investment portfolios, as the passive investment trend in the domestic bond market continues to grow [3] Group 2: Key Points on Tin Industry - The price of tin is expected to rise due to limited supply and increasing production costs, with global tin mine costs projected to increase from approximately 25,581 USD/ton in 2022 to 33,800 USD/ton by 2027 [7] - Demand for tin is anticipated to remain strong, driven by the growth in AI applications and the recovery of consumer electronics, with a projected global refined tin supply deficit of 8,300 tons in 2025 [8] - The global monetary environment is becoming more accommodative, which is favorable for tin prices, as market expectations suggest potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [9] Group 3: Key Points on Home Furnishing Industry - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for Q2 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 46.6%, driven by brand and channel expansion [12] - Continuous investment in R&D and product optimization has led to an improvement in overall gross margin, enhancing profitability [12] - The company has managed to maintain strong operational quality despite external challenges, indicating robust core business performance [12]