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国泰海通|人形机器人 · 合集
国泰海通证券研究·2025-07-17 14:02

Core Viewpoint - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from a technological explosion to commercial validation, with significant developments expected by 2025 [1] Research Reports - The humanoid robot industry is entering the "1 to 100" phase, where manufacturers are tested on their ability to implement scenarios, and the hardware outsourcing model is emerging [1][29] - The market for tactile sensors is projected to reach a scale of 1 trillion yuan as humanoid robot production increases [5][7] - The bearing market is expected to see significant growth due to the rising demand from humanoid robots, with a focus on domestic replacement opportunities [9][10] Conference Reviews - Various forums and conferences have been held to discuss the advancements and confidence in the humanoid robot industry, highlighting the collaboration across multiple sectors [3] Deep Report Excerpts - Tactile sensors are crucial for the functionality of humanoid robots, with the market for these sensors expected to grow significantly as production scales up [5][7] - The bearing market is poised for growth, with domestic manufacturers focusing on replacing imported high-end bearings [9][10] - The development of dexterous hands is essential for humanoid robots, with a focus on reducing costs and enhancing functionality [14][15] Industry Trends - The tactile sensor market is projected to grow from $15.33 billion in 2024 to $35.59 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 12.8% [7] - The global bearing market is expected to exceed $2430.3 billion by 2030, with significant opportunities for domestic manufacturers [10] - The 3C supply chain is well-positioned to enter the humanoid robot market, leveraging its rapid iteration and innovation capabilities [18][19] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies that can produce dexterous hands and tactile sensors, as these components are critical for the commercial viability of humanoid robots [14][15] - The domestic bearing industry is encouraged to accelerate technological advancements to meet the growing demand from the humanoid robot sector [9][10] Market Outlook - The humanoid robot market is expected to see substantial growth, driven by advancements in technology and increasing production volumes [1][29] - The tactile sensor market could reach approximately 1.3 trillion yuan when humanoid robot production hits 100 million units [7] - The bearing market is projected to benefit from the increasing demand for high-end bearings in humanoid robots, with significant potential for domestic replacements [9][10]